By Keith Kappel | Friday, September 18th, 2009 at 2:33 pm
Could the Sudetenland have once again been traded for peace in our time?
Wonder how that came about? Did you notice that GE and Morgan Stanely will soon go to Russia and meet with Putin? Can you say quid pro quo?
Meanwhile, Ahmadinejad says Israel will not exist much longer. All the while we and the world allow Iran to pursue its nuclear ambition and Iran supports insurgents in Iraq and Afganistan.
In the background, Chavez confers with Russia, signs oil agreements with China and makes noise about expanding its military. Israel also travels to Russia to plead with them not to provide Iran with advanced air defense systems.
Any idea where all of this might be headed?
Consider that intelligence analysts assess that Iran’s nuclear facilities can be slowed by a military strike but not stopped. That suggests Israel will make their strike decisions knowing that the strike must be broad based and crippling. Wonder what kind of strike the Israelis could have in mind? Given Iran’s retaliation capabilities and the effect such retaliation will have on the world economy, I submit that an Israeli strike will not come in the form of a simple air strike alone. That would be militarily foolish and facilitate Israel’s demise. No, such a strike must be decisive enough to suppress Iran’s military infrastructure. At a minimum, it must take out Iran’s leadership. Like it or not, we will be affected and drawn into the fray.
One more comforting thought to ponder. Do you suppose our lack of border security may have encouraged the installation of myriad sleeper cells to be unleashed in the US as part of any retaliatory scheme? If I were Iran, I cetainly would know I could not play on the same military ball field as the US. Accordingly, I would look to develop a capability to strike hard and deep at my enemy’s infrastructure. I would do this in places where I could significantly hurt their economy and demoralize their society. This would cause my enemy to turn inward to deal with severe economic, social and political disruption. My enemy would be off balance dealing with simultaneous internal and external threats and its power and position in the world community substantially degraded. Imagine the upheaval brought about by major disruptions in the power grid, commuter travel and freight movement. The enemies of my enemy would be free to exploit and improve their power and position.
To say that the ramifications to our economy, given the current deficit and structure of spending priorities, would be serious is an understatement. The economic implications of oil at $200 plus per barrel (if you can get it and do the refining) by itself portends massive and worldwide economic disruption. Where is the manufacturing base needed to support and sustain ourselves in this scenario?
Health care and cap and trade are unimportant distractions. There will be no wealth to redistribute.
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Tags: Economy, GE, General Electric, Iran, Morgan Stanley, Politics, retaliation, Russia, strike